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Eugenio Paci


eugenio.paci@fastwebnet.it

Journal articles

2012
Mario Mascalchi, Nicola Sverzellati, Massimo Falchini, Giuditta Favilli, Simone Lombardo, Letizia Macconi, Eugenio Paci, Andrea Lopes Pegna, Fabio Falaschi, Maurizio Zompatori, Stefano Diciotti (2012)  Changes in volume-corrected whole-lung density in smokers and former smokers during the ITALUNG screening trial.   J Thorac Imaging 27: 4. 255-262 Jul  
Abstract: To evaluate with a volume-corrected whole-lung approach changes in lung density over 2 years consistent with progression of pulmonary emphysema in smokers and former smokers enrolled in the ITALUNG trial of lung cancer screening using low-dose computed tomography (LDCT).
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Giulia Carreras, Giuseppe Gorini, Eugenio Paci (2012)  Can a national lung cancer screening program in combination with smoking cessation policies cause an early decrease in tobacco deaths in Italy?   Cancer Prev Res (Phila) 5: 6. 874-882 Jun  
Abstract: Objective is to predict smoking attributable deaths (SAD) for lung cancer and all causes in Italy, 2015 to 2040, assuming a yet unimplemented tobacco control policies (TCP) and a national, low-dose, lung cancer, computed tomography (CT) annual screening program (CT screen). A dynamic model describing the evolution of smoking habits was developed to estimate quit rates, 1986 to 2009, and to predict SAD under different scenarios: keeping the status quo; raising cigarette taxes by 20%; implementing cessation treatment policies (funding treatment, setting up an active quitline, promoting counseling among health professionals); introducing a three-round annual CT screen for current and former heavy smokers aged 55 to 74, 70% compliance, 20% lung cancer mortality reduction; combining all the above-mentioned measures. The CT screen brought a 3.0% constant annual reduction in lung cancer SAD and decreased or postponed all-cause SAD by 1.7% annually (a half due to respiratory diseases), relative to the status quo scenario. The effect was noticeable after few years from its introduction. TCP showed a steadily strengthening effect starting from 5 to 10 years after implementation. The lung cancer and all-cause SAD under cessation treatment policies, for instance, were reduced by 8.4% and 12.0% in 2030, respectively, and by 16.1% and 20.0% in 2040. TCP gave a greater effect than CT screen in reducing all-cause SAD because cessation brought about a reduction in smoking-related SAD other than lung cancer and respiratory diseases. Combining TCP and CT screen could bring about an early decrease in lung cancer and respiratory disease SAD due to CT screen, followed by a more substantial drop in all-cause SAD in subsequent decades due to TCP.
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Marco Maltoni, Guido Miccinesi, Piero Morino, Emanuela Scarpi, Francesco Bulli, Francesca Martini, Filippo Canzani, Monia Dall'agata, Eugenio Paci, Dino Amadori (2012)  Prospective observational Italian study on palliative sedation in two hospice settings: differences in casemixes and clinical care.   Support Care Cancer 20: 11. 2829-2836 Nov  
Abstract: Palliative sedation (PS) has been defined as the use of sedative medications to relieve intolerable suffering from refractory symptoms by a reduction in patient consciousness. It is sometimes necessary in end-of-life care when patients present refractory symptoms. We investigated PS for refractory symptoms in different hospice casemixes in order to (1) assess clinical decision-making, (2) monitor the practice of PS, and (3) examine the impact of PS on survival.
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M Mascalchi, L N Mazzoni, M Falchini, G Belli, G Picozzi, V Merlini, A Vella, S Diciotti, F Falaschi, A Lopes Pegna, E Paci (2012)  Dose exposure in the ITALUNG trial of lung cancer screening with low-dose CT.   Br J Radiol 85: 1016. 1134-1139 Aug  
Abstract: Few data are available on the effective dose received by participants in lung cancer screening programmes with low-dose CT (LDCT). We report the collective effective dose delivered to 1406 current or former smokers enrolled in the ITALUNG trial who completed 4 annual LDCT examinations and related further investigations including follow-up LDCT, 2-[(18)F]flu-2-deoxy-d-glucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) or CT-guided fine needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB). Using the air CT dose index and Monte Carlo simulations on an anthropomorphic phantom, the whole-body effective dose associated with LDCT was determined for the eight CT scanners used in the trial. A value of 7 mSv was assigned to FDG-PET while the measured mean effective dose of CT-guided FNAB was 1.5 mSv. The mean collective effective dose in the 1406 subjects ranged between 8.75 and 9.36 Sv and the mean effective dose to the single subject over 4 years was between 6.2 and 6.8 mSv (range 1.7-21.5 mSv) according to the cranial-caudal length of the LDCT volume. 77.4% of the dose was owing to annual LDCT and 22.6% to further investigations. Considering the nominal risk coefficients for stochastic effects after exposure to low-dose radiation according to the National Radiological Protection Board, International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) 60, ICRP103 and Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation VII, the mean number of radiation-induced cancers ranged between 0.12 and 0.33 per 1000 subjects. The individual effective dose to participants in a 4-year lung cancer screening programme with annual LDCT is very low and about one-third of the effective dose that is associated with natural background radiation and diagnostic radiology in the same time period.
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Donella Puliti, Guido Miccinesi, Marco Zappa, Gianfranco Manneschi, Emanuele Crocetti, Eugenio Paci (2012)  Balancing harms and benefits of service mammography screening programs: a cohort study.   Breast Cancer Res 14: 1. 01  
Abstract: The use of screening mammography is still under debate within the medical community. The aim of this study is to define a balance sheet of benefits (breast cancer mortality reduction) and harms (overdiagnosis) for mammography screening programs.
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Emanuele Crocetti, Carlotta Buzzoni, Adele Caldarella, Teresa Intrieri, Gianfranco Manneschi, Claudio Sacchettini, Eugenio Paci, Guido Miccinesi (2012)  [Suicide mortality among cancer patients].   Epidemiol Prev 36: 2. 83-87 Mar/Apr  
Abstract: to evaluate the excess risk in the deaths due to suicide in a huge case-series of cancer patients and in particular in a group with recent diagnosis.
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Sisse Njor, Lennarth Nyström, Sue Moss, Eugenio Paci, Mireille Broeders, Nereo Segnan, Elsebeth Lynge (2012)  Breast cancer mortality in mammographic screening in Europe: a review of incidence-based mortality studies.   J Med Screen 19 Suppl 1: 33-41  
Abstract: To estimate the impact of service mammography screening on breast cancer mortality using European incidence-based mortality (IBM) studies (or refined mortality studies). IBM studies include only breast cancer deaths occurring in women with breast cancer diagnosed after their first invitation to screening.
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A Caldarella, D Puliti, E Crocetti, S Bianchi, V Vezzosi, P Apicella, M Biancalani, A Giannini, C Urso, F Zolfanelli, E Paci (2012)  Biological characteristics of interval cancers: a role for biomarkers in the breast cancer screening.   J Cancer Res Clin Oncol Sep  
Abstract: INTRODUCTION: In a population-based screening program, a percentage of tumors remain undetected; these tumors comprise a heterogeneous group, and they are more likely to have adverse prognostic features. The aim of this study was to identify differences in biological characteristics of screen-detected versus interval breast cancers in a population-based screening program according to molecular subtypes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analyzed the population-based data from a long-running screening program in the area of Florence. Data on screening history and on age, T and N status, grade, histotype, hormonal status and Ki-67 and HER2 expression were retrieved. Subtypes of breast cancer were defined on the expression of ER, PR, Ki-67 and HER2: luminal A if ER/PR+, HER2- and Ki67 <14 %, luminal B (HER2 negative) if ER/PR+, HER2- and Ki67 ≥14 %, luminal B (HER2 positive) if ER/PR+ and HER2+, triple negative if ER/PR-and HER2-, HER2 positive if ER/PR- and HER2+. Association between molecular subtypes and mode of detection will be evaluated by a logistic regression model adjusted for the potential confounding variables. RESULTS: Information about biomarkers was known for 277 cases, 211 screening-detected and 66 interval cancers. Among interval cases, the triple-negative cancers were more represented than luminal A (OR = 3.52; CI, 1.112-11.13; p = 0.0319), while the proportion of HER2+ was quite similar (OR = 1.57; p = 0.4709). CONCLUSION: Although made on a small number of cases, our results suggest a difference in distribution of molecular subtypes according to mode detection, confirming the results of earlier studies.
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Livia Giordano, Carla Cogo, Julietta Patnick, Eugenio Paci (2012)  Communicating the balance sheet in breast cancer screening.   J Med Screen 19 Suppl 1: 67-71  
Abstract: Despite the difficulties, there is a moral responsibility to provide the public with the best estimates of benefits and harms of breast cancer screening.
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S M Moss, L Nyström, H Jonsson, E Paci, E Lynge, S Njor, M Broeders (2012)  The impact of mammographic screening on breast cancer mortality in Europe: a review of trend studies.   J Med Screen 19 Suppl 1: 26-32  
Abstract: Analysing trends in population breast cancer mortality statistics appears a simple method of estimating the effectiveness of mammographic screening programmes. We reviewed such studies of population-based screening in Europe to assess their value.
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Donella Puliti, Stephen W Duffy, Guido Miccinesi, Harry de Koning, Elsebeth Lynge, Marco Zappa, Eugenio Paci (2012)  Overdiagnosis in mammographic screening for breast cancer in Europe: a literature review.   J Med Screen 19 Suppl 1: 42-56  
Abstract: Overdiagnosis, the detection through screening of a breast cancer that would never have been identified in the lifetime of the woman, is an adverse outcome of screening. We aimed to determine an estimate range for overdiagnosis of breast cancer in European mammographic service screening programmes.
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Mireille Broeders, Sue Moss, Lennarth Nyström, Sisse Njor, HÃ¥kan Jonsson, Ellen Paap, Nathalie Massat, Stephen Duffy, Elsebeth Lynge, Eugenio Paci (2012)  The impact of mammographic screening on breast cancer mortality in Europe: a review of observational studies.   J Med Screen 19 Suppl 1: 14-25  
Abstract: To assess the impact of population-based mammographic screening on breast cancer mortality in Europe, considering different methodologies and limitations of the data.
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Eugenio Paci (2012)  Summary of the evidence of breast cancer service screening outcomes in Europe and first estimate of the benefit and harm balance sheet.   J Med Screen 19 Suppl 1: 5-13  
Abstract: To construct a European 'balance sheet' of key outcomes of population-based mammographic breast cancer screening, to inform policy-makers, stakeholders and invited women.
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2011
Gianfranco Manneschi, Emanuele Crocetti, Donella Puliti, Marco Zappa, Claudio Sacchettini, Eugenio Paci (2011)  [Cancer incidence in Italian natives and in first-generation immigrants to Italy].   Epidemiol Prev 35: 5-6. 292-296 Sep/Dec  
Abstract: The aim of this study was to evaluate differences in cancer incidence in populations born in different countries in the area covered by the Tuscan Cancer Registry.
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Ellen Paap, André Verbeek, Donella Puliti, Mireille Broeders, Eugenio Paci (2011)  Minor influence of self-selection bias on the effectiveness of breast cancer screening in case-control studies in the Netherlands.   J Med Screen 18: 3. 142-146  
Abstract: Self-selection bias is considered to be a problem when evaluating the effectiveness of breast cancer service screening in case-control studies.
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Daniela Giorgi, Livia Giordano, Leonardo Ventura, Alfonso Frigerio, Eugenio Paci, Marco Zappa (2011)  Mammography screening in Italy: 2009 survey.   Epidemiol Prev 35: 5-6 Suppl 5. 9-27 Sep/Dec  
Abstract: This report is an update of similar previous papers that have been published by the ONS (Osservatorio nazionale screening, National Centre for Screening Monitoring) since 2002. Data for the survey come from several different programmes that may have changed over time, and may have different settings of organisation and management. During 2009, an increase in theoretical extension was recorded; however, this was not followed by an increase in actual extension, which remained stable. Currently, all Italian regions have implemented screening programmes. In 2009, almost 2,522,000 women aged 50-69 years were invited to have a screening mammogram, and more than 1,362,000 were screened. Theoretical extension was 93.8%, while actual extension was 69.5%. An imbalance in coverage is still present when comparing northern and central Italy to southern Italy, which only has a 78% coverage by organised screening. The Italian mean value (78.5%) of two-year extension (period 2008-2009) suggests that, at full capacity, Italian programmes are able to invite only three quarters of the target population. The percentage of women screened during 2009 accounted for 36.5% of the national target population. During the last few years, participation rates were substantially stable, around 55-57%for crude rate, and 59-61%for adjusted rate, respectively. A decreasing trend towards the South of Italy is evident for this parameter, too. Many programmes work with low volumes of activity (below 10,000 or even 5,000 examinations per year), and only one region surpassed the desirable level of at least 20 000 examinations for each programme. Referral rates of 8% at first screening and 4.6% at repeat screening were recorded. Direct standardised detection rate was 6.2 x 1,000 at first screening and 4.4 x 1,000 at repeat screening, while benign to malignant ratio for first and repeat screening was 0.25 and 0.12, respectively. Detection rate of invasive cancers ≤ 10 mm was 1.34 x 1,000 at first screening and 1.51 x 1.000 at repeat screening; the proportion of in situ carcinomas was 14.1% and 14.4% for first and repeat screening, respectively. Indicators by 5-year age group confirm greater diagnostic problems at younger ages (50-54 years), with higher referral rates, higher frequency of surgical procedures with benign outcome (B/M ratio), and a substantially lower detection rate as compared to older age groups.
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Marco Zappa, Gabriella Dardanoni, Paolo Giorgi Rossi, Grazia Grazzini, Carlo Naldoni, Eugenio Paci, Maria Elena Pirola, Renato Pizzuti, Nereo Segnan, Manuel Zorzi, Antonio Federici (2011)  The diffusion of screening programmes in Italy, year 2009.   Epidemiol Prev 35: 5-6 Suppl 5. 3-7 Sep/Dec  
Abstract: In 2009, screening programmes in Italy continued to have positive results, as well as retaining some of the issues encountered in previous years. Overall, in 2009 over 9,000,000 people were invited to undergo a screening examination (3,547,000, 2,522,000 and 2,994,000, for cervical, breast, and colorectal cancer, respectively). More than 4 million people actually took up the invitation (1,393,000, 1,363,000, and 1,423,000 for cervical, breast, and colorectal cancer, respectively). The screening activities led to the finding of 5,973 breast cancers (36% of annual occurring breast cancers in Italy in the 50-69 year age group), 4 454 CIN2 or more severe cervical lesions, 2,556 colorectal cancers (16% of annual occurring CRC cancer in Italy in the 50-69 year age group), and 13,554 advanced adenomas.
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Livia Giordano, Daniela Giorgi, Leonardo Ventura, Roberta Castagno, Eugenio Paci, Nereo Segnan (2011)  Time trends of process and impact indicators in Italian breast screening programmes (1999-2009).   Epidemiol Prev 35: 5-6 Suppl 5. 28-38 Sep/Dec  
Abstract: Since its establishment in 1990, one of the main tasks of the Italian group for mammography screening (GISMa) is the systematic data collection on the activity of the organised mammography screening programmes implemented in Italy. Data are collected in an aggregated way and gathered through a standardised form to calculate process and impact parameters. Data analysis from 1999-2009 shows that crude attendance rate reached the acceptable 50% standard, presenting a higher level of participation in northern and central Italy compared to southern Italy/Islands, where attendance rates are still inadequate and do not reach the acceptable standard. In areas where centralised management is more established or complete, the participation rate was higher compared to areas without such characteristics, with differences from 5% in 2005 (reaching 22% in 2008) to 10% in 2009. The time trends of the other parameters included in the analysis showed, in 2009, a good average performance. For example, benign/malignant surgical biopsy ratio (B/M ratio) reached 0.21 at first screening and 0.08 at subsequent screening; detection rate for in situ and small cancers (≤10 mm) showed a good trend, reaching 0.9‰, and 1.5‰, respectively, for first screening, and 0.9‰, and 1.4‰ for subsequent screening. On the contrary, excess referral rate at first screening persisted, and the overall detection rate presented a negative trend in the last period (8.9% and 5.7‰, respectively). Although further analyses are needed to better interpret these trends, results continue to be consistent with those achieved by other European programmes, and are reassuring for all Italian mammography screening professionals.
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